Times Series Analysis Of Malaria Cases In Ejisu-Juaben MunicipalityJournal: International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research (Vol.4, No. 6)
Publication Date: 2015-06-15
Authors : Takyi Appiah; S.; Otoo; H.; Nabubie; I.B.;
Page : 220-226
Keywords : Keywords Autoregressive; Cyclic; Hypothesis; Trend; Time Series; Stationary;
Abstract The number of malaria cases in the Ejisu-Juaben Municipality were modelled statistically to find the best model for forecasting the disease for a two year period. The Box-Jenkins approach was applied to Secondary data from the municipality to determine the best model fit. From the model obtained the forecast was found to have an oscillatory trend for some period and then remain constant for the period of two years from 2014 and 2016.
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