PROGNOSTIC MODEL TO DETECT COMPLICATIONS IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE CORONARY SYNDROME
Journal: The Journal of V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University, series "Medicine" (Vol.24, No. 24)Publication Date: 2012-12-30
Authors : M. P. Kopytsya; N. V. Tytarenko; N. V. Bila; O. L. Oparin;
Page : 23-31
Keywords : N-terminal proB-type natriuretic peptide; acute coronary syndrome; prognosis;
Abstract
The aim of this study was to define the utility of the measurement N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) and other clinical and biochemical markers to predict adverse events (death, stroke, unstable angina, re-infarction, or necessity of revascularization at 1 year in patients with acute coronary syndrome
(ACS). Parameters with significant differences in patients with and without complications were taken for ana-ly¬sis: age, heart rate (HR) at admission, levels of hemoglobin and NTproBNP. Curves of sensitivity and spe¬ci-fi¬city were used based on the method of ROC analysis and cut-off values were chosen for each variable. Ball scoring was performed for each parameter regard to the cut-off value and a scale for calculating the summarized diagnostic coefficient (DC) by the method of Gubler was offered. A multimarker approach includ¬ed on NTproBNP, hemoglobin, HR at admission and age and the summation of balls based on offered sca¬le and calculating DC provides in¬formation in terms of ACS prognosis at 1 year, with a worse outcome for those with diagnostic coefficient has negative value (sensitivity 87,5 % and specificity 75,6 %).
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