SUATU PENDEKATAN MONETER TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PADA PEREKONOMIAN TERBUKA KECIL DENGAN KONTROL MODAL: STUDI KASUS INDONESIA 2010.1-2014.12
Journal: Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan (Vol.13, No. 02)Publication Date: 2015-12-01
Authors : Aris Soelistyo;
Page : 141-168
Keywords : Economic Growth; Small open economy; Flexible exchange Rate; imperfect capital mobility;
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to formulate the monetary model of the economic growth in a small open economy with a free exchange rate system and capital mobility is not perfectas well as the factors that influence economic growth, exchange rates and interest rates with monetary approach. This study uses a structural analysis approach to vector autoregresion with monthly data Indonesia in 2010-2014. The empirical results reveal that changes in the money supply is a significant negative effect on economic growth 0.1008 Indonesia. Moreover, economic growth is affected by the magnitude of the previous period of economic growth significantly by 0.391825, where the magnitude of the effect is determined by the strength of the exchange rate in response to changes in interest rates Indonesia, the greater the exchange rate response to changes in interest rates, the weakening influence of the period of economic growth prior to economic growth. For a small open economy with a free exchange rate system then the value of the rupiah per dollar exchange rate is influenced significantly by the amount of money in circulation
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