Proposing a Popular Method for Meteorological Drought Monitoring in the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan

This paper investigates meteorological drought in one of Afghanistan's most important socio-economic river basins called Kabul River Basin (KRB) using a 38 years monthly precipitation data. Several drought indices such as Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Percent of Normal Precipitation Index (PNPI), Deciles Index (DI), and China-Z Index (CZI) were applied for the first time on the basin in order to observe the correlation among the indices in the basin for drought, and to see which method is suitable for drought monitoring in KRB. Due to the concerns that climate is changing and especially the rapid snowmelt that accounts for 80% of the precipitation in Afghanistan, it was essential to carry such a study in order to warn the responsible bodies in the country for a better drought management. Moreover, the rapid population increase and usage of more water for both drinking and agricultural purposes in the basin with a possible decrease in the annual precipitation make it necessary to undertake such a study. The results of the investigation show that KRB area experienced drought conditions continuously from 2000 to 2004 with a peak extreme drought in 2001 which confirm to the reported worst drought in the region. It is noted that log-SPI, gamma-SPI, and Deciles captured the historical extreme and severe drought periods successfully, therefore, these methods are recommended to be applied to this region as drought assessment tools.