FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI IMPOR KEDELAI INDONESIA
Journal: Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan (Vol.8, No. 1)Publication Date: 2014-07-31
Authors : Azis Muslim;
Page : 117-138
Keywords : Impor Kedelai; Konsumsi Kedelai; ARDL; Import Soybean; Soybean Consumption;
Abstract
The aim of this study is to determine the factors that affect Indonesia's imports of soybean. The study utilized time series secondary data and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration analysis. The results reveal that in the short run Indonesia's import of soybean are influenced by Indonesia's soybean imports in the previous year, price of USA's soybean, Argentina's soybean oil price, and the Rupiah exchange rate. In the long run Indonesia's imports of soybean are influenced by Argentina's soybean oil, Indonesia GDP, and the Rupiah exchange rate. This study recommends that mechanism to maintain soybean stocks demanded is useful for food security.Therefore Government role is important in providing the accurate data on soybean stock, and diversification of the country of origin is crucial to maintain price stability and supply continuity in the country
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