FORECASTING AND VALIDATING REAL TIME RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS WITH TRADITIONAL VEDIC TECHNIQUES AT GOVARDHAN ECO VILLAGE

Ancient Vedas in their Sanskrit texts have given rainfall prediction techniques on specific days yielding useful results. India has predominantly rain nurtured Agriculture and hence is solely dependent on rainfall and rainfall prediction has utmost importance. Amongst various astrometeorological methods for rainfall forecasting Parasar Muni, Aryabhatt, Varaha Mihira found out the science to predict and measure rains. The Krishi Parashara gives simple models for predicting rains. Rainfall prediction is important by modern as well as astro-meteorological methods. Every village had been following the rainfall prediction. Today climatology applies to different areas, but the Vedic method helps to predict rainfall on a daytime to hours of daylight basis whether a specific vicinity would get rains or not. For that, the viewer must be present on the place on specific days. Rainfall over an area is very significant from water management forecasting and regulation aspect. The forecast of rainfall adds and helps in scheduling the activities of farmers, real estates, supply of water, cultivation management, engineering department and others. long term forecasting and planning can be accomplished by two methods, namely Vedic method of forecasting and scientific weather forecasting. Traditional projections are based on systematic annotations and skill using blends of floras, faunas, pests, climatological and astral indicators, and almanacs or Pachanga's over a period of time. The traditional weather estimates can be checked on past records of climate prevailed in the area using mathematical models. During the study, the rainfall calculations by one of the traditional methods of Akshaya Tritiya is studied in wisdom by seeing the actual rainfall over Govardhan Eco village at Wada for 6 years. The basic aspect used by the predictors is the wind direction. The basic aspect used by the predictors is the wind direction. This technique has made GEV an award winning eco community and has impacted the lives of over 350 tribal farmers in Wada Taluka. Charts showing the movements of prediction and actual were drawn which indicated the same pattern in both. The ancient approaches of forecasting rainfall cannot be altogether overlooked and there is need to identify and assess the old literature and techniques of spoken civilisations across varied climatic zones.