FORMALIZATION OF THE MODEL OF THE SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM OF STORAGE OF AMMUNITION

The article formulates the task of managing security when storing ammunition under conditions of uncertainty. Uncertainties relate, first, to the reasons for the initiation of ammunition (P,j ), secondly with the uncertainty of the transition of the jth initiation munition in emergency (Sj ), the third with the uncertainty of what emergency would initiate the jth munition. It is discussed distributed group of munitions as multicomponent system and risk factors of emergency situations, which have a range of features. The first is that separate accidents, the worst possible scenarios of development of the accident might be caused by external causes and consequences of internal causes, a second is the multi development emergency and third-part cause and effect is not rigid, and may or may not occur depending on the emergency situation. A common strategy for storage of ammunition safety management is proposed. Objective operational storage of ammunition safety management, prevention of accidents and their development is formulated. It is analyzed possibility to minimize damage from a disaster.