FIRE RISK INDEX IN RUSSIAN FEDERATION IN 2010–2014 YEARS

As a result called on review of the scientific studies in the field of risk and fireman of the risk is shown regions category need in Russian Federation on fire risk. This will allow to compare the situation with risk of the fire in region. The authors consider expedient to select two groups region (dangerous and crisis). In group dangerous region will be necessary to develop the program on reduction of the fire risk, but in crisis group—take urgent and priority measures. In economy and finance for estimation of the Dow Jones Average is actively used. The similar approach possible fireman for estimation to dangers. The methods of the calculation of the index of the fire risk is enough simple. On the first stage regions Russian Federation are ranked in order of the decrease of importance of the fire risk. Then 30 regions with maximum importances of the fire risk factor are selected. They form the listings of the calculation of the fire risk index and the first category of the countries, which is considered dangerous. The fire risk index pays by averaging the factors region in listings. The offered methods of the highlighting of the dangerous group region allows clearly to define the regions Russia for which necessary development of the programs of the reduction of the risk. Except this amongst groups dangerous region, came in listings, the second category a region may be selected—a crisis group. The regions will get in this group with importance of the risk exceeding value of the index. The computed frequencies of the hit region Russia in listings of the calculation of the fire risk index for 2010–2014, as well as in crisis group. The got results useful for shaping the programs of the reduction risk in region in dangerous and crisis categories.