INDEXES FIREMAN RISK IN RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Journal: Pozharovzryvobezopastnost/Fire and Explosion Safety (Vol.23, No. 5)Publication Date: 2014-05-29
Authors : KAIBICHEV I. A. Doctor of Mathematics; Physics Sciences KAIBICHEVA E. I. Leadinging Specialist-Expert;
Page : 56-61
Keywords : fire statistics; Dow Jones Average; fireman risk.;
Abstract
One of the problems of the fire statistics is an absence of indexes, showing situation with firemen risk on territory of the Russian Federation and allowing produce partition a region on groups dangerous and critical. Given problem can be solved on base of the use of the Dow Jones method. The Dow Jones Index is famous indicator of the condition of the economy and stock market. In article it is offered enter the fireman risk indexes on base of the approach Dow Jones. In scheme of the calculation of fireman risk indexes role industrial corporation is played by the subjects of Russian Federation. After ranking subjects on fireman risk value we shall select 30 regions in order of the decrease since maximum time. These regions form the listing of the calculation of the index. The fireman risk indexes are defined by averaging given on regions, trapped in the listing. The regions, in which magnitude of fireman risk higher the index values, form the crisis group. In work there are executed calculations of indexes of the fire risk and the death risk from fire for year in Russian Federation for 2002. There are highlighted regions, trapped in the listing, as well as certain regions with crisis situation. The offered indexes fireman risk can be a basis to taking management and trained decisions similarly that as Dow Jones index is used in economy and finance.
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