Fiscal Deficits And Inflation In Nigeria The Causality Approach
Journal: International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research (Vol.1, No. 8)Publication Date: 2012-09-25
Authors : Ozurumba Benedict Anayochukwu;
Page : 6-12
Keywords : Keywords fiscal deficit; inflation rate; macroeconomic; monetary policy; Granger-causality; autoregressive distributed lag;
Abstract
Abstract - This paper examines the causal relationship between inflation and fiscal deficits in Nigeria covering the period 1970-2009. This was carried out by way of developing an estimation model of inflation and fiscal deficit with a view to testing causes and effects as well as the relationship between them. The estimation technique used is the autoregressive distributed lag ARDL model and the Granger-causality test. The result of the Granger-causality test shows that the null hypothesis which says that fiscal deficit does not cause inflation should be rejected since the result is significant with probability less than 0.05. This implies that fiscal deficitGDP causes inflation. However no feedback mechanism was observed. The results from the ARDL test confirm a significant negative relationship between growth in fiscal deficit of GDP and inflation. The above results confirm the a priori expectation. It is recommended that policies targeted at inflationary control in Nigeria could best be achieved if they are aimed at fiscal deficits reduction. In addition the government should support growth in the real sectors of the economy.
Other Latest Articles
- A Post-Colonial Look Yeats And War Poems
- Building Citizen Awareness of Environmental Conservation
- An In Vitro Study of The Antifungal Activity of SilverChitosan Nanoformulations Against Important Seed Borne Pathogens
- Study of Effects of Extremely Low Frequency Electromagnetic Radiation on Biochemical Changes In Satureja Bachtiarica L
- End of Life Strategies For Effective Electronic Waste Management In Nigeria
Last modified: 2013-04-13 21:45:31