Applying Logistic Regression Data mining techniques for Ethiopian Government Agricultural Open Data Sets

Ethiopia has a great agricultural potential because of its vast areas of fertile land, diverse climate, generally adequate rainfall, and large labor force. With its verified importance to the Ethiopian economy, there is sufficient evidence to show that the potential of the agricultural sector can be expanded considerably by attracting investors towards the sector. This study aims at applying classification techniques in developing a predictive model that can estimate yield production of vegetable crops and the correlation of crops based on their class. In the process of building a model, different steps were undertaken. Among the steps, data collection, data preprocessing and model building and validation were the major ones. Different tasks performed in each step are mentioned as follows. The data were collected Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Under preprocessing, data cleaning, discretization and attribute selection were done. The final step was model building and validation and it was performed using the selected tools and techniques. The data mining tool used in this research was Weka. In this software the logistic regression algorithm was selected since it is capable to score more accuracy. After successive experiments were done using this software, a model that can classify crop yield as high, medium and low with better accuracy to the extent of 88.6%. Experimental results show that logistic regression is a very helpful tool to depict the contribution of yield estimation and crop correlation. The reported findings are optimistic, making the proposed model a useful tool in the decision making process. Eventually, the whole research process can be a good input for further indepth research