Enrolment Trend Analysis among Transition Periods of a University for Management Intervention

Utilizing the information of the past and the present will result to a better preparation of the future. This research intended to investigate the patterns (trends) in the enrollment status among three transition periods of one State University in the Philippines by analyzing the enrollment trends in the past 45 years. Using descriptive research design, it validated the hypothesis of no difference on the enrollment trends for the past 45 years. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) was utilized to find any differences while regression trend model was used to find the best fit. The result showed that the trend became fractal on the transition from College of Agriculture Technology to Polytechnic College since an avenue for offering of other programs was open during the transition. Likewise, a consistent increasing trend of enrollment was found among the three transition periods of the university. It was also found out that significant difference existed between the enrolment trend during BNCAT and LSPU, and LSPC to LSPU while the trends from BNCAT to LSPC are the same. Finally, the study found, with high level of confidence, the fit model for the trend and was able to provide forecasts of the enrollees for the next decade.