THE CLUSTER ANALYSIS OF THE TERRITORY OF UKRAINE BY THE MAIN INDICATORS OF DAILY FUNCTIONING AND MANIFESTATION OF TECHNOGENIC DANGER
Journal: Геоінформатика (Geoinformatika) (Vol.52, No. 4)Publication Date: 2014-12-17
Authors : V.V. Tiutiunik; N.V. Bondarev; R.I. Shevchenko; L.F. Chernogor; V.D. Kalugin;
Page : 63-72
Keywords : emergency situation; technogenic danger; power approach; cluster analysis; complex system of monitoring; prevention and elimination of emergency situations.;
Abstract
Purpose. The purpose of the paper is to develop, within the suggested power approach, conceptions of dynamics and power functioning of the natural-technogenic-social system with dispersed in time and space any sources of dangers and their destabilizing effect on safety by daily functioning; to classify and range the territory of Ukraine by levels of daily functioning and technogenic danger manifestation. Design/methodology/approach. We used methods of cluster analysis to carry out research on classification and ranging of the territory of Ukraine by levels of danger of a technogenic origin based to an assessment of the main indicators of the country`s activity and various manifestations of technogenic dangers ? emergency situations of a technogenic origin; on fires in technogenic and social environment; on road accidents. The data analysis was carried out using statistical STATISTICA 6.1 and SPSS 20 packages. Findings. On the basis of a hierarchical clustering, we carried out: a) ranging by quantity of interrelations between indicators of the activity of the natural-technogenic-social system of Ukraine in a mode of daily functioning and in the conditions of emergency situations of a technogenic origin; b) ranging of regions of Ukraine by key parameters defining conditions of daily functioning of the natural ? technogenic ? social system and manifestation of technogenic danger. On the basis of non-hierarchical clustering by the method of k-averages we carried out an assessment of the degree of clustering of the main variables defining conditions of daily functioning of the natural ? technogenic and social system and manifestation of technogenic danger. Practical value/implications. The obtained results of hierarchical and non-hierarchical clustering offer scientific foundation for further development of an effective territorial complex system of monitoring, prevention and elimination of emergency situations of a technogenic origin and ensuring ecological safety in Ukraine.
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