ANALYSIS OF VARIATIONS IN TREND IN NOVEL CORONAVIRUSDISEASE IN SOUTHERN TAMIL NADU, INDIA

Corona Virus Disease (COVID) is the newly identiβied communicable diseasewhichoriginallyfoundin Chinaβirst andits spreadwasfoundallovertheworld.The spread made a huge impact among people around the world. In this study,the variation of trends in novel COVID spread is determined in the southernregion of Tamilnadu state of India. Tamilnadu ranks in the seventh positionin the total population among the 29 states in India. This can be one of thereasons for the spread of the disease. In this study, the trend patterns in thespread of disease are determined from May to November for the year 2020 insoutherndistricts of Tamilnadu. Theresultsof the CUSUM testindicatedthat allthe districts had a statistically signiβicant step jump in June. The Mann-Kendalltest indicated that there is an increasing trend in June in all the districts anddecreasing trend in October and November. From the results, it is suggestedthat the βirst phase vaccination can be implemented in Madurai, Virudhunagar,Kanyakumari and Thoothukudi districts.