Impact of the Tourism Industry Scenarios in Urban Economy: (Case Study Tabriz)

Purpose: The tourism industry, especially in its urban dimension, has a special place in the economies of countries and its effects and consequences are evident in all dimensions. Cities are considered as tourist places due to their structure, texture and identity, and one of the components of economic development of cities and its result in countries is tourism. Methodology: To do this, in addition to library studies, interviews with experts and professors in the field of tourism and economics have been conducted in order to identify the components affecting tourism. Based on the research findings from statistical analysis based on SPSS and Mini Tab software, different scenarios for the development of tourism in Tabriz have been designed in accordance with Micmac software and based on them, the necessary solutions have been provided. To do this, by designing a questionnaire to collect data, by analyzing the information obtained, input factors in four areas of strategic planning, tourism potentials, regional conditions and infrastructure facilities and effective consequences on the problem in two economic areas. And tourism consequences are categorized. Findings: Using the results, probable, plausible and possible scenarios are identified and finally suggestions for economic development of tourism in Tabriz based on these scenarios are expressed. The results show that despite the many conditions and capabilities in the city of Tabriz, programs and infrastructure facilities are still not suitable for tourism development and, consequently, the prosperity of the urban economy in this area. Originality/Value: The main purpose of this study is to explain the impact and importance of the tourism industry in the flourishing of the urban economy and the purpose of its implementation in the metropolis of Tabriz is to study tourism scenarios in the future of Tabriz urban economy.