SIMULATION OF THE IMPACT OF HYDROFLUOROCARBON (HFC) EMISSIONS IN TOGO ON GLOBAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE

Background:Several IPCC scenarios have predicted a global temperature increase of 1.5°C by 2030 attributable to greenhouse gases (GHGs) including hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) controlled by the Kigali Amendment. Objectives:Thus, this study aims to simulate the increase in global temperature by 2030 attributed only to HFC emissions in Togo, given that the country is a party to the Kigali amendment and the Paris agreement. Methods:The methodology applied in this study is based on the projection to 2030 of HFC emissions in 2018 in order to simulate their impact on global average temperature using the LEAP-IBC tool. Results:HFCs emissions in Togo will reach 2598.13 GgCO2-e and will contribute to the increase in global average temperature by representing 18/100000 of the 0.5°C over the period 2018 to 2030 predicted by the IPCC scenarios. This increase attributed to the HFCs sector alone in Togo once again shows the impact of GHG on global average temperature.These results should therefore alert political decision-makers to redouble their efforts in the implementation of mitigation measures