Application of Monte Carlo Method for Simulation of Covid-19 Epidemic Behavior |Biomedgrid
Journal: American Journal of Biomedical Science & Research (Vol.10, No. 4)Publication Date: 2020-09-25
Authors : Esmaeil Farshi;
Page : 360-363
Keywords : Immunity; Vaccination; Population; Homogeneous; Epidemics;
Abstract
There is no any valid simulation for COVID-19 spreading behavior especially its herd immunity. Herd Immunity is going to play very important role in COVID-19 issue because of lack of treatment drugs and vaccination. Herd immunity thresholds constitute convenient targets for vaccination coverage too. Therefore, present Monte Carlo simulation is very important and applicable for both herd immunity and vaccination scenarios. Calculation of important factors, especially basic reproductive ratio Ro, may be used in both vaccine scenario and herd immunity. It may be also used for prediction of COVID-19 behavior in any city or society using our Monte Carlo simulation.
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