Investigation of Impact of Oil, Gold and Natural Gas Prices on Clean Energy Stock Prices
Journal: Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks (FMIR) (Vol.9, No. 3)Publication Date: 2025-10-06
Authors : Manaf Baghirzade; Tymur Kosormyhin;
Page : 101-119
Keywords : gold prices; investing in clean energy stocks; natural gas prices; oil prices; price movements; price shocks; price volatility; S&P Global Clean Energy Index;
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of oil, gold, and natural gas prices on clean energy stock prices using a comprehensive set of statistical techniques. Daily and monthly data for the period 2013–2023 were obtained from Yahoo Finance, S&P Dow Jones Indices, and Investing.com. Correlation, pairwise regression, multivariate regression, and ANOVA analyses were performed. The strongest association was identified between clean energy stocks and gold prices (r = 0.82), while weaker correlations were observed with oil (r = 0.22) and natural gas (r = 0.27). Pairwise regression analysis confirmed the significance of gold as a predictor (R² = 0.72, p < 0.01), whereas models involving oil and gas were found to be statistically insignificant (R² < 0.15, p > 0.2). A multivariate regression model incorporating gold indices and prices yielded R² = 0.83 with all variables statistically significant at p < 0.05, confirming gold’s dominant explanatory power. The statistical robustness of the selected factors was further validated through ANOVA tests (F-statistics > F-critical, p < 0.01). The findings indicate that gold functions as a safe-haven asset with a measurable influence on clean energy stock valuations, while oil and gas prices exert negligible effects. The results highlight the importance of incorporating gold-related indicators into clean energy investment models and provide a quantitative foundation for future macroeconomic and policy-oriented analyses.
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