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NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF STOCHASTIC EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODEL: CASE OF SIR MODEL

Journal: International Journal of Applied Mathematics & Statistical Sciences (IJAMSS) (Vol.5, No. 2)

Publication Date:

Authors : ;

Page : 41-50

Keywords : SIR Model; Numerical Simulation; Stochastic Process; Picard Iteration; Brownian Motion; Stochastic Differential Equation;

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Abstract

In this paper we extend the SIR epidemic model, considered in [1], from a deterministic framework to a stochastic one, and we formulate it as a stochastic differential equation. We present a Picard iteration method of proving verification theorem for the existence and uniqueness of the solution in global behavior. As a side effect of this study, we move one the development of the numerical treatment to solve the considered problem using the Milstein’s scheme. A comparative numerical study is done using some values of the intensity of the stochastic environment around the endemic equilibrium.

Last modified: 2016-02-17 17:32:36