METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO FORECASTING INVESTMENT POLICIES IN THE SPHERE OF HIGH TECHNOLOGY MANUFACTURES
Journal: Academic Bulletin "Economics and Region" (Vol.5, No. 48)Publication Date: 2014-11-26
Authors : Sergiy M. Kravchenko;
Page : 68-73
Keywords : ;
Abstract
Development of a methodological approach to solving this problem is particularly relevant because what is happening today in Ukraine with the executive and legislative bodies in the field of investment policy development knowledge-intensive industries, can be characterized as an empirical selection of activities that are, at best, helping not to lag far behind the existing standards and regulations in the markets. Forecasting investment policies in knowledge-intensive industries are invited to pass through the identification of promising trends of indicators that reflect the current state of investments in knowledgeintensive industries, depending on the state of the national economy. In general, talking about raising the adaptive properties of the model, we mean the ability of the model: to identify trends in the period of changes in the course of time; to modify the model parameters quickly and properly. In order to develop the medium-term investment policy forecasting indicators of knowledge-intensive industries were implemented. According to the study of the factors, affecting the development of the investment activity in the suggested algorithm, we have carried out the study and identification of the factors, that have the greatest influence on the development of investment policy, namely high-tech products. The algorithm research and the formation of the investment policy of knowledge-intensive industries: Step 1. Identifying the factors that influence the development of the investment policy. Step 2. Analysing the current state of the country's investment climate. Step 3: Identification of the most influential factors on the investment activity development.Step 4. Investigation of promising trends in the development of investment and innovation activity in the country. Step 5. Identifying areas to enhance effective development investment.
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