Theoretical foundations of the aviation industry strategic safety management in the context of ensuring sustainable development of the national economy

The aviation industry is an open type system, which is affected by a wide range of technical, natural, human and economic threats. In the same time, aviation is a generator of significant environmental threats. Therefore, we cannot imagine the aviation industry aside from seeking answers to contemporary global challenges. The aim of the article is to determine the theoretical foundations of strategic safety management of the aviation industry in order to develop effective tools for ensuring sustainable development of the national economy. Aviation safety is an important component of the concept of general national security, personal security, public safety and transport safety against external and internal threats. For strategic safety management of the aviation industry in the context of sustainable development of the national economy, a structural and functional scheme of an integrated threat identification and neutralization system, proactive risk management in solving the problems of ensuring aviation safety, safe connection of people and business and environmental safety has been developed. To identify and strategize the safety level of the aviation industry, timely identify and neutralize threats and manage risks, the modern methodology of the IES of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine is chosen. Methodology is based on the applied theory of systems, control theory, economic cybernetics and allows you to obtain the dynamics of integral indices of the aviation industry safety components, which can serve the best indicator of the effectiveness of safety measures. Instead of classical forecasting methods for strategic scenarios of the aviation industry, using the principle of “the past determines the future”, it is proposed to use adaptive methods of regulating control theory based on the principles of “the future is determined by the path to the future”