Determination of Key Indicators and Scenario for Sustainability of Tobacco Production in Madura

Tobacco has been recognized as important agricultural commodity in term of excise revenue and employment. This present work aimed to 1) identify key factors that play significant role in tobacco production system in Madura, 2) establish scenario to maintain tobacco production. Data were collected from interview using questionnaires, while prospective participative analysis (PPA) was used to identify the key factors and scenario establishment. As a result, this current study successfully identified 7 key factors showing pivotal role in tobacco production sustainability system, including 1) cropping pattern, 2) land area, 3) governmental regulation, 4) land suitability, 5) productivity, 6) climate information, and 7) improvement of farmers skill. Based on these factors, 3 scenarios were made: 1. Intensification aspect, focusing on the increase in productivity and cultivation technology, 2. Extensification aspect, focusing on regulation implementation, and 3. Trading aspect, focusing on partnership and price stabilization