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Why A Green-Based Generation Expansion Plan For Kenya A Comparative Analysis

Journal: International Journal of Technology Enhancements and Emerging Engineering Research (IJTEEE) (Vol.3, No. 9)

Publication Date:

Authors : ;

Page : 80-85

Keywords : Keywords generation expansion planning capacity reserve margins; carbon credits; systems cost; net present value.;

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ABSTRACT The main concern in the global generation sector was the huge CO2 emissions from the conventional power generation. In Kenya the sector prepares 20 year rolling least cost power development plan LCPDP for expanding the power system to meet the current and future power demands. The 2011-2031 LCPDP generation plan proposed a system expansion that would result in a 33 fossil fuel power generation posing a huge CO2 emission dilemma. Consequently a green least-cost generation expansion plan GLCGEP was derived from the Kenyas numerous renewable energy resources. However the question of whether or not the plan was preferable over the LCPDP and the way forward for the Kenyas generation sector remained unanswered. This study sought the answer to this question through a comparative study of the two generation expansion plans. The findings of the study established that the GLCGEP would have a relatively modest reserve margin averaged at 25 and more than US2.16 billion net revenues by the end of the 2011-31 planning period. Nothwitstanding the envisaged energy system showed ample social-economic benefits for green growth. Therefore the research recommended future studies on modelling grid reliability and stability with high penetration of variable renewable energy sources.

Last modified: 2015-11-13 19:01:11