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Flood forecasting in Blue Nile basin using a process-based hydrological model

Journal: International Journal of Environment (IJE) (Vol.3, No. 1)

Publication Date:

Authors : ;

Page : 10-21

Keywords : Blue Nile Basin; Distributed Hydrological Model; flood forecast; CCSM3; Miroc3.2;

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Abstract

Predictions of variations in global and regional hydrological cycles and their response to changes in climate and the environment are key problems for future human life. Therefore, basin-scale hydrological forecasts, along with predictions regarding future climate change, are needed in areas with high flood potential. This study forecasts hydrological process scenarios in Blue Nile basin using a distributed hydrological model (DHM) and predicted scenarios of precipitation from two general circulation models, CCSM3 model and Miroc3.2-hires. Firstly, river discharge was simulated by the DHM using the observed rainfall from 1976 to 1979 and then, simulating future precipitations from 2011 to 2040, discharge scenarios were predicted.

Last modified: 2014-03-25 14:14:17