FINANCIAL STRATEGY' CHOICE UNDER CONDITION OF HIGH VOLATILITY

The modern economics conditions with high fluctuations in the financial and investment markets impact on the ratio of risks-profit. Proposed by the authors model is based on the discipline "games theory". These model shows the average market and financial risks, which influence on the expectations of market participants, on their choice of financial strategy, as well as this model includes long-term and medium-term tools to make forecasts. It helps to calculate all financial risks in the any strategies of market participants and to create a strategy which is focused on minimizing that risk. With the help of optimal strategy, based on an assessment of the financial risks, state can build a competent macroeconomic policy, which will be attractive to investors. Since the model includes calculations and analysis of financial risks in the market, it is possible to estimate how certain policy will be fitted to the organization and what results will be. Also, government with the help of this model could see the direction of macroeconomic policy, based on the scenario probability of a certain level of oil prices. For private investors, the model can be useful for the analysis of investment projects and the selection of the most profitable and attractive one.