ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING FERTILITY RATE
Journal: Journal Association 1901 SEPIKE (Vol.1, No. 11)Publication Date: 2015-12-31
Authors : Victor Nevegin Regina Zimina Ksenia Matrosova Ekaterina Tinkova;
Page : 212-214
Keywords : birth rate; demography; fertility; contraception; women's unemployment; expenditures on health care;
Abstract
According to the modern demographic situation in Russian Federation one of the actual problems is a reduction of the level of fertility. There is observed a development of having few children or predominantly one child. This problem in our country has been discussed at all levels of authority for a long time but at the same time in spite of achieved successes in this area a number of problems is not still solved. In the article the problem of falling birth rates in developed countries is considered and the main factors influencing its level are determined. During the econometric research the relationship between the resulting sign Fertile and each separate factors as well as their overall impact has been examined. Thus three economic models were specified. The choice of significant factors which influence the increase in fertility was conducted in the econometric modeling. The models of paired and multiple regression were constructed and investigated. In the analysis specific model which would allow determining the dependence of the birth rate from the studied factors was not identified but negative correlation between fertility rates and contraceptive prevalence was confirmed.
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