Investigation of dynamics of volume of exchange contracts with bonds of internal state loan as the main financial instrument of the stock market of Ukraine

The article investigates the current state of the stock market in Ukraine on the basis of the dynamics of the volume of exchange contracts with domestic government bonds as the main financial instrument of the domestic stock market. The study of the dynamics of trading in domestic government bonds allows us to assess the general dynamics of the stock market development and the presence of seasonal fluctuations and, based on this, to select adequate forecasting tools - models of adaptive forecasting for trends without a pronounced seasonal factor. This will allow us to respond more adequately to fluctuations in the volume of demand for stock instruments, which will help manage the revenues of the bidding organizers