FUZZY SET THEORY APPLYING TO ACCIDENT OR EMERGENCY FORECAST: CASE STUDY OF SAFETY BREACH IN MINE

The paper deals with the problems of industrial accidents on coal-mining enterprises of Russia. Relevance of study is proved since rate of accidents in coalmining industry is high as compared to that in the countries, leading in volumes of production. The main problem here is the fact that hidden causes for occurring most accidents are still not fully examined. Most accidents being the primary reasons for failed industrial injuries and incidents are not identified so far. Currently there is a task of establishing a system for accounting, analyzing, and predicting probability for violations of industrial safety rules, where the major problem lies in availability of non-identified cases, when the workers use hazardous methods of work.