Forecast of Investment Financing in Russia in Terms of Funding SourcesProceeding: 7th International Conference Innovation Management, Entrepreneurship and Sustainability (IMES 2019) (IMES)
Publication Date: 2019-05-30
Authors : Valentina Edronova Daria Maslakova;
Page : 173-182
Keywords : Investment financing; finance sources; analysis of tendencies; forecasting;
the aim of the study is to develop recommendations for assessing the state ofinvestments financing into fixed assets at the regional levels on the basis of differentiation ofsources of funds. Design/methodology/approach: a general scientific system approach to the study of thephenomenon, econometric and statistical methods for leveling time series, their analyticalsmoothing, as well as an extrapolation method were used as the methodological base of thestudy. The empirical base of the study was the official statistics and calculated data obtained bythe authors. Taken together, these research methods ensured the reliability of economic analysisand the validity of the conclusions formulated in the paper. Findings: the proposed methods for analyzing trends and forecasting the volume of investmentsbased on structured approach to investment financing sources allow analyzing the role of eachsource in the dynamics of investment financing, identifying sources with growth potential andnegative dynamics, and evaluating the role of a particular source. Analysis of the quality offorecasts for the federal districts indicates sufficient forecast accuracy and the possibility of itsuse in strategic planning of the socio-economic development of the region. Research/practical implications: the authors proposed a new approach to forecastinginvestment financing, based on differentiating sources of funds. Originality/value: in contrast to the approaches adopted in the Russian practice of forecasting,focused on the integrated forecasting of investments by types of financing (own, state, loan),the author's approach ensures the formation of the forecast in the context of sources of differenttypes of financing for each region. The results can be used by experts and specialists ininvestment strategic planning, in the development of strategic and current investment plans inthe region.
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