Prognosticating Human Movement Based on Telecom’s Handoff in Mobile Networks Based on Little's Law?

For studying issues such as prognostication of vehicle traffic and spread of contagious diseases, investigating human movement behavior is important .The telecom’s mobility management is an ideal mechanism for studying human movement issues, since mobile telecom network can efficiently monitor the movement of mobile users. The problem can be abstracted as follows: What is the probability after T hours that a person at location A will move to location B. The answer is not possible to obtain directly because commercial telecom networks do not exactly trace the movement history of every mobile user. In this paper, how to use the standard outputs (call arrival rates, handover rates, call traffic and call holding time) measured in a mobile telecom network and how to derive the answer for this problem is shown.