LOGISTICS APPROACH TO THE ASSESSMENT OF THE RISKS OF A METALLURGICAL ENTERPRISE USING ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Journal: International scientific journal "Internauka." Series: "Economic Sciences" (Vol.1, No. 84)Publication Date: 2024-04-30
Authors : Kozenkov Dmytro; Kaut Olga; Shportko Hanna;
Page : 17-23
Keywords : decision-making; risk; production logistics; monitoring;
Abstract
Introduction. The modern process of making managerial decisions cannot be imagined without considering risks. Risks, emerging in any part of production logistics, are the cause of potential losses for the entire logistics system of an enterprise, and decision-making regarding their minimization is a criterion for ensuring production efficiency. Adequate risk assessment allows for increasing the soundness of managerial decisions regarding the selection of measures aimed at reducing the frequency of risk events and the scale of potential losses. The significant increase in the number of works on risk management in recent years indicates a growing need for practical and theoretical understanding of this issue. However, it should be acknowledged that the management of production risks in the logistics system is currently insufficiently researched. Purpose. The aim of the research is to disclose conceptual approaches to making managerial decisions considering risks within the scope of production logistics, which includes three mechanisms: assessment of economic consequences, forecasting the magnitude of expected consequences, and monitoring subsystem. Materials and methods. The research materials consist of the principles of economic theory and scientific works by domestic and foreign scholars on risk management issues. During the research process, the following scientific methods were utilized: theoretical generalization and grouping (for assessing risks and their impact on economic consequences, as well as identifying various risk factors, risk types, and for grouping risk management methods) Results. Decision-making with consideration of risks within the scope of production logistics involves the use of the following mechanisms: the mechanism for assessing the consequences of risks in production logistics that occurred during the reporting period; the mechanism for forecasting the consequences of risks in production logistics; monitoring the consequences of risks in production logistics. The aim of making managerial decisions with consideration of risks within the scope of production logistics is aimed at adequate assessment of the consequences resulting from risk events and includes three mechanisms: assessing the economic consequences of events that have occurred and selecting measures to reduce them; forecasting the magnitude of expected consequences considering preventive measures and evaluating their impact on financial results; a monitoring subsystem that allows for controlling actual and potential losses and additional costs for all elements of logistic flows. Discussion. In further scientific research, it is proposed to focus on the implementation process of a monitoring system to ensure quick and effective decision-making with consideration of risks within the production logistic system.
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