FORECASTING THE BEHAVIORAL RISKS OF HIV INFECTION OF THE POPULATION OF THE LOCAL TERRITORIES OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

Aim. To develop an algorithm for predicting the behavioral risks of HIV infection in certain regions of Russia. Materials and Methods. The theoretical stage of the work was aimed at identifying links between the level of HIV infection in the population and indicators of social and criminal tensions in thirteen typical regions of the Russian Federation. The initial data of the analyzed indicators are obtained from the official reports of the Rosstat, the General Prosecutors Office and the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation. The experimental stage of the research consisted in performing psychological and functional testing of the representatives of the indigenous population of the model regions of Russia. A total of 1471 people of both sexes, aged 18-28 years, participated in the study. The psychotype was assessed by indicators of behavioral and social activity, social destructiveness, asociality, prosociality, aggressiveness, frustration, irritability and resentment. Functional testing provided a determination of the level of the general non-specific reactivity of an organism of the test subjects by means of an instrumental assessment of the thermal sensitivity threshold. For this, laboratory algozimeter Ugo Basile (Italy) was used. Results. The implementation of the theoretical stage of the study revealed a positive correlation between the level of general crime, the level of serious crime, mortality from murder, death from suicide and the number of voluntary abortions with HIV infection in the Russian population. As a result of the experimental phase of the study, a statistically significant direct connection was found between the general nonspecific reactivity of the organism, both with the social manifestations of criminal tensions and with psychological markers of social disadaptation of the population. The generalization of the data allowed us to develop a comprehensive, systematic approach to predicting the risk of HIV infection in the population of individual regions, based on the level of social tension, population characteristics of the psychotype and psycho-physiological status of a person. Conclusions. As a result of a complex of theoretical and experimental studies, the interrelationships of social, physiological, and psychological factors of the behavioral risks of HIV infection in the Russian population were identified. The relationship of the general non-specific reactivity of an organism with the social manifestations of criminal tensions and psychological markers of social maladjustment of the population is characterized. An algorithm for systemic prediction of the behavioral risk of HIV infection among residents of local territories of the Russian Federation has been developed.