Foreign Trade of Ukraine in Wartime Conditions: the Status and Basis for Forecasting for a Post-War Perspective
Journal: Herald of the Economic Sciences of Ukraine (Vol.48, No. 1)Publication Date: 2025-06-19
Authors : Chebotarov Ie. V. Chebotarova N. M.;
Page : 240-248
Keywords : foreign trade; martial law; forecasting; state policy of post-war recovery; European integration;
Abstract
A generalization of the economic aspects of the prerequisites and course of the Russian-Ukrainian war and forecasting the scale of Ukraine's losses as a result of the war and awareness of the world experience in developing and implementing post-war development policies using the example of the countries of Europe, the South-Eastern subregion and the Middle East constitutes a scientific and practical basis for the conclusion on the need to analyze foreign economic activity, in particular foreign trade as a component of the processing of the set of problems of post-war recovery of Ukraine. This article aims to conduct a comprehensive statistical study of Ukraine's foreign trade and determine the priority tasks for ensuring the trends of its sustainable development as a component of the state policy of post-war recovery. To prove the legitimacy of the proposed approach and to visualize the analysis conducted, the article presents the results of a comparative study of Ukraine's largest partners for eleven years: from 2013 to 2023; and a comparative analysis of the TOP-5 importers and exporters of Ukraine in terms of transactions with toll raw materials for the same period was conducted. The share of the largest exporters and importers of goods by regions of Ukraine and the share of modes of transport in the transportation of goods in foreign trade were determined for the last reporting year of 2023.
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