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TIMESERIES FORECASTING PROBLEM STA TEMENT AND DESCRIPTION OF MAIN METHODS

Journal: Science and world (Vol.1, No. 56)

Publication Date:

Authors : ;

Page : 40-42

Keywords : Holt - Winters model; models of classification - regression trees; singular spectrum analysis; exponential smoothing model; regression model; autoregressive mode l; heteroscedasticity;

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Abstract

The classification of the main forecasting methods is given. Statistical methods, expert estimates, modeling are considered.Scopes of application, comparison of methodologies are defined. There are restrictions on the use of different models. The regression, autoregressive, exponential smoothing models, SSA method are considered among the statistical ones. Examples of application of methods and analysis of the most influencing factors for each case are presented

Last modified: 2018-09-28 15:42:38