RESEARCH OF METHODS EFFICIENT ECOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT UKRAINIAN WATER RESOURCES

Different methods of prediction the state of the environment in the context of pollution monitoring and ecological assessment of the state Ukrainian water resources are considered and the moving average method, exponential smoothing method, the least squares method and method of prediction using neural networks are realized. Prediction of the value of the pollution indicator was made on the basis of historical monitoring data. Experimental studies have been performed to compare the predictive quality of each of the methods based on the criterion of the standart error.