UNCERTAINTIES IN ESTIMATION OF THE VEGETATION PRODUCTIVITY AND THE FORMATION OF CARBON BALANCE OF THE TERRITORIES USING REMOTE SENSING

Analysis of regional environmental and climate changes and related risks is one of the major issues facing the society at the moment. Assessments of the reliability of the data used for predicting such processes are an important part of modeling and adequate assessment of the hazards and effective management of the risks associated with such changes. We have developed a method for estimating the uncertainty in the ecosystems carbon fluxes analysis at the regional level. A method for estimating the mutual consistency of data distributions, the most correct combination of heterogeneous data and minimization of errors has been proposed. The algorithm allows to determine the carbon fluxes estimation errors for all components of the system and for all data used for analysis. Uncertainty of emissions scenarios and related assessments of environmental change at the regional level in comparison with the known global models have been evaluated.